Showing posts with label People’s Bank of China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label People’s Bank of China. Show all posts

Friday, 11 May 2018

China's 'petro-yuan' could advance with Iran sanctions

European Stock Markets

China is positioned to be a chief beneficiary of the U.S. decision to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal as it would give China leverage to demand oil imports be priced in yuan, several currency experts said on Thursday. 


President Donald Trump is preparing to impose new sanctions on Iran, the White House said on Wednesday, following the U.S. withdrawal from the multinational 2015 agreement that stalled Iran’s nuclear program.

The sanctions would aim to limit global trade of the oil producer’s crude. The effects may be muted as major Asian importers, China chief among them, are likely to continue buying Iranian oil.

The People’s Republic stands to benefit if it can use its leverage as the world’s largest importer of crude by insisting that its oil purchases from Iran be priced in yuan.

Oil is priced and traded in U.S. dollars because of the dominance of the dollar-denominated Brent and West Texas Intermediate benchmarks.

Pricing imports in yuan would therefore spare China the cost of exchanging dollars, and would increase the use of the renminbi in global financial trade, which could ultimately hurt the dollar’s international clout.

Iran’s exports are expected to decrease, as are foreign investments in the country.

That would hurt not just Iran’s economy but also the dollar’s liquidity, as the global oil trade undergirds the greenback, said Edward Al-Hussainy, senior analyst, global rates and currency at Columbia Threadneedle in Minneapolis. This provides Iran an incentive to approach the People’s Bank of China to discuss a yuan-denominated deal.

During the last round of sanctions prior to the nuclear deal, Iran’s oil supplies fell by around one million barrels per day. But its oil minister said on Thursday that Trump’s decision to quit the pact would not affect Tehran’s exports.

In the interest of exerting more control over the price of oil imports, China in March launched a crude futures exchange that could become a yuan-denominated benchmark to rival Brent and WTI.


Shortly after the exchange launched, Reuters reported on March 29 that Chinese regulators had informally asked a handful of financial institutions to prepare for pricing China’s crude imports in the yuan, according to three sources at some of the financial firms.

Both endeavours are part of a larger effort by Beijing to establish its currency internationally.

China has further incentive to establish an interest in Iran’s oil industry, as the country lies at the crossroads of China’s “One Belt, One Road” project, which aims to invest more than $1 trillion in infrastructure from railroads and ports to energy, in more than 60 countries spanning Europe, Africa and Asia.

Thursday, 26 April 2018

Yuan claws back from against the dollar

Asian Stock Markets

China’s yuan shook off a much weaker official midpoint and clawed back from a one-month low against the dollar on Thursday as the greenback paused after its recent rally. 


The dollar was little changed near a 3-1/2-month high against a basket of currencies in Asian morning trade, bolstered by higher U.S. Treasury yields.

Prior to the market opening, the People’s Bank of China set the midpoint rate at 6.3283 per dollar, the weakest level since March 21 and 217 pips or 0.34 percent weaker than the previous fix of 6.3066.
In the spot market, the yuan opened at 6.3245 per dollar and fell to a low of 6.3275 at one point in morning trade, the softest level since March 23.

But it soon recouped losses and traded at 6.3238 at midday, 32 pips firmer than the previous late session close.

However, some analysts and market participants expect the yuan to come under renewed downward pressure if U.S. yields and the dollar continue to firm.

The global dollar index, a gauge that measures the greenback’s strength against six other major currencies, stood at 91.135 at midday, compared with previous close of 91.172. It rose to a high of 91.261 on Wednesday, its strongest since Jan. 12.

Separately, China resumed a key outbound investment scheme on Wednesday, granting qualified domestic financial institutions fresh quotas to buy overseas stocks and bonds for the first time since early 2015.

Market watchers said expansion of the outbound investment scheme should have limited impact on the yuan.

The offshore yuan was trading 0.10 percent firmer than the onshore spot at 6.31 per dollar.

Offshore one-year non-deliverable forwards contracts (NDFs), considered the best available proxy for forward-looking market expectations of the yuan’s value, traded at 6.424, 1.49 percent weaker than the midpoint.

One-year NDFs are settled against the midpoint, not the spot rate.

Monday, 18 December 2017

Asian shares rise amid U.S. tax cut hopes; China in focus

Asian Stock Markets

Asian shares edged up on Monday, with sentiment boosted by expectations U.S. lawmakers will pass a long-awaited tax bill, while Chinese stocks were soggy after the country’s central bank raised interest rates.


Meanwhile, the launch of bitcoin futures on the CME exchange bolstered expectations the cryptocurrency’s red-hot rally in the cash market could continue.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS gained 0.2 percent. Japan's Nikkei .N225 was the best performer in the region, rising 1.3 percent to edge closer to a 25-year peak of 23,382 points set last month.

Global stock markets have surged this year, largely led by expectations of a U.S. tax overhaul. The reform is seen boosting corporate profits, triggering share buybacks and higher dividend payouts - a boon for shareholders.

Votes on the legislation are expected this week.

China is also in focus after the People’s Bank of China raised interest rates on reverse repurchase agreements, or reverse repos.

Investors will also watch for news from a three day Central Economic Work conference starting Monday where Communist Party leaders will discuss economic policy, including growth targets.

China could lower its growth target to 6.0 percent from 6.5 percent, Waddington added, as the impact of tighter financial conditions and stricter regulation aimed at reducing leverage worked through the economy.

Chinese shares eased, with Shanghai's SSE Composite index down 0.1 percent after opening higher. The bluechip CSI 300 .CSI300 also came off the day's high to be largely unchanged.

The British pound GBP= was near 3-week lows as Prime Minister Theresa May prepared for a week of difficult meetings in an effort to unite a divided cabinet over Brexit talks.

Bitcoin futures began trading on the CME exchange on Monday <0#BTC:>, with the near-month contract down 3.6 percent.
In the spot market, bitcoin was last down 2.8 percent at $18,430 after hitting a record $19,666 on
Sunday on the Luxembourg-based Bitstamp Exchange. BTC=BTSP

In commodities, oil prices were slightly firmer with U.S. crude CLc1 up 8 cents at $57.38 while Brent crude LCOc1 inched 12 cents higher to $63.35.

Spot gold XAU= was steady at $1,254.99. ($1 = 1.3060 Australian dollars)