Showing posts with label European share markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label European share markets. Show all posts

Wednesday, 30 May 2018

Global stocks fall for consecutive sixth day but euro in min-rebound

Global Stock Markets

Italy’s political crisis and renewed trade war fears sent world stocks lower for the sixth day in a row, though hopes that Italy could avoid a new election helped European markets stage a mini-bounce from one of their worst selloffs in years. 


Investors have in recent days scurried for assets such as U.S. and German bonds or the Japanese yen, spooked by the possibility that Italy, the third-biggest euro zone economy, could deliver a bigger boost to eurosceptic parties in a snap election that sources said could be held by end-July.

An election at this point would also be a de facto referendum on Italy’s euro membership, evoking memories of the 2011-2012 euro debt crisis and carrying huge implications for the single currency, whatever its outcome.

However, reports that the two anti-establishment parties were again renewing efforts to form a government rather than force the country back to the polls, helped Milan-listed equities snap a five-day losing streak .FTMIB.

Similarly, short-dated Italian bond yields IT2YT=RR - a sensitive gauge of political risk - fell almost half a percent from half-decade highs after suffering their worst day in nearly 26 years on Tuesday.

A pan-European equity index was flat on the day after falling almost 4 percent in the past five days.

Barclays investment strategist Hao Ran Wee said that while risks from Italy for world markets had certainly risen, there were significant hurdles for the country to sharply increase spending or exit the euro zone.

Japan’s biggest private life insurance firm, Nippon Life, which holds some 4.8 trillion yen ($44.21 billion) worth of euro zone bonds, also said it had no plans for now to buy or sell its Italian debt holdings.

Equity futures signalled a stronger open on Wall Street ESc1, after Tuesday's harsh session which saw all three U.S. indexes lose between 0.5-1.2 percent .DJI .SPX .IXIC, led by financial sector stocks.

Asian markets however remained under pressure, with an index of non-Japanese Asian stocks .MIAPJ00000PUS, hurt also by news that the United States was pressing ahead with tariffs and restrictions on investments by Chinese companies. Beijing meanwhile said it was ready to fight back if Washington ignited a trade war.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 sold off 1.5 percent to a six-week low while Shanghai shares .SSEC also dropped 1.4 percent. Trade-sensitive emerging equities fell 1.2 percent to 5-1/2-month lows.

Emerging markets are also suffering from the dollar's renewed surge since mid-April, with Indonesia raising interest rates for the second time in two weeks to support the rupiah currency IDR=.

The politics and fears of an economic hit across the euro zone has driven investors into U.S. Treasuries and German Bunds pushing yields 15-20 basis points lower They have also fuelled a sharp rise in the yen and Swiss franc, especially against the euro EURJPY=.

The euro attempted to bounce off 10-month lows against the dollar EUR=EBS rising 0.5 percent to $1.160, while against the Swiss franc and yen it firmed around 0.3 percent EURCHF=.

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose 6.5 basis points to 2.83 percent US10YT=RR while German yields rose around 5 basis points DE10YT=RR

Oil prices meanwhile struggled as expectations grew that Saudi Arabia and Russia would pump more oil to counter potential supply shortfalls from Venezuela and Iran, even as U.S. output has surged in recent years.

Brent futures traded around $75.50 per barrel LCOc1, well off recent 3-1/2-year highs above $80.

Wednesday, 23 May 2018

Euro Gains, stocks fall following the Asian counterparts

European Stock Markets

Shares in Europe followed Asian counterparts lower as storm clouds gathered from Turkey to North Korea and data cast doubts on economic growth prospects for the euro area. Treasuries advanced with the dollar, while oil dropped with most commodities.



The Stoxx Europe 600 Index sank by the most in two months alongside U.S. equity-index futures, as optimism over U.S.-China trade talks faded together with prospects for President Donald Trump’s summit with North Korea’s leader.

Concerns over Turkey’s financial-market stability drove the lira to successive record lows and weighed on emerging-market assets. The yen and core European bonds gained with gold as traders sought havens after equity benchmarks from Hong Kong to Sydney declined.

The euro fell to a six-month trough as manufacturing data added to concern economic momentum is slowing, while the pound weakened and gilts climbed as U.K. inflation undershot expectations, denting prospects for rate increases.

Gloom is returning to global markets just as trade tensions between the U.S. and China appeared to be easing. U.S. stocks closed down Tuesday after Trump introduced uncertainty on a meeting with Kim Jong Un, while in Italy questions are swirling around the suitability of the nominated prime minister.

Monetary policy may provide a welcome distraction when the Federal Reserve releases minutes of its latest policy meeting on Wednesday.

Stocks
The Stoxx Europe 600 Index sank 1 percent as of 10:15 a.m. London time, the lowest in more than a week on the biggest tumble in two months.
The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index sank 0.7 percent.
Germany’s DAX Index sank 1.5 percent.

Currencies
The euro fell 0.4 percent to $1.1735, the weakest in six months.
The British pound sank 0.5 percent to $1.3364, the weakest in five months.

Bonds
The yield on 10-year Treasuries decreased four basis points to 3.02 percent, the lowest in more than a week.
Germany’s 10-year yield dipped five basis points to 0.51 percent, the lowest in five weeks.
Britain’s 10-year yield decreased seven basis points to 1.523 percent, the largest tumble in two months.

Commodities
West Texas Intermediate crude decreased 0.5 percent to $71.85 a barrel, the biggest dip in more than a week.
Gold jumped 0.2 percent to $1,294.20 an ounce.
LME copper sank 2.1 percent to $6,831.00 per metric ton, the lowest in a week on the biggest tumble in almost four weeks.

Thursday, 12 April 2018

Dealmaking supports European shares as Syria worries weigh; relief for Sulzer

European Stock Markets

Fresh dealmaking activity helped support European shares on Thursday, although investors remained cautious on worries over the prospect of U.S. military action in Syria. 



The pan-European STOXX 600 index fell 0.1 percent at 0821 GMT, having lost 0.6 percent on Wednesday. The FTSE .FTSE was flat and Germany's DAX .GDAXI lost 0.1 percent.

U.S. President Donald Trump warned Russia this week of an imminent military action in Syria over a suspected gas attack, declaring that missiles “will be coming” and lambasting Moscow for standing by Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

“We may well see a military response by the end of the week, as the situation in Syria ramps up further, and this may well temper investor enthusiasm to buy back into the market ahead of the weekend,” said CMC market analyst Michael Hewson.

However, investors found some comfort in some merger and acquisition developments.

Shire (SHP.L) rose 2.2 percent after sources told Reuters Takeda (4502.T) had sounded out creditors for loans to help finance a possible bid for the British rare disease specialist.

Firstgroup (FGP.L) spiked 9 percent after news it rejected a takeover approach from Apollo, while Playtech (PTEC.L) rose 8.2 percent after it agreed to buy Italian betting firm Snaitech (SNAI.MI) in a $1 billion deal. Snaitech was up 14.8 percent.

The tensions over Syria kept crude oil prices near 4 year highs, helping energy stocks advance 0.5 percent. [O/R]

In earnings some disappointing updates weighed.

Carrefour (CARR.PA) fell 5 percent following weak quarterly sales, while German drugs-packaging maker Gerresheimer (GXIG.DE) also fell weaker-than-expected first-quarter earnings.

Sulzer (SUN.S) rallied 15 percent after the Swiss pumpmaker said it freed itself of U.S. sanctions after authorities approved its buyback of shares that has reduced to less than 50 percent the stake of Russian oligarch Viktor Vekselberg, chairman of holding company Renova.

The relief bounce however made up for only part of the 22 percent share price drop Sulzer suffered since the sanctions were announced last week, as some investors remained cautious.

Shares in Oerlikon (OERL.S) rose 4.6 percent, Schmolz & Bickenbach (STLN.S) added 1.6 percent.

Wednesday, 11 April 2018

Sterling pauses on soft data

European Stock Markets

Sterling trimmed gains on Wednesday after British manufacturing output fell unexpectedly in February, its first drop in almost a year, adding to signs the economy may have slowed in the first quarter. 


With bets on sterling at their most bullish in years according to positioning statistics, and forecasters predicting more gains, the lacklustre data offered some investors an opportunity to take profits into a recent rally.

The British currency has been one of the best performing this year with gains of more than 5 percent against the dollar. It hit a post Brexit-referendum vote high of $1.4346 in late January and is currently trading roughly 1 percent below those levels.

Sterling has been supported by expectations that the Bank of England will raise interest rates in May and comments by policymaker Ian McCafferty on Tuesday along with strong housing survey data on Monday offered further encouragement.

A Brexit transition deal, secured by Prime Minister Theresa May in March, has also pushed back the risk of economic disruption linked to Britain’s EU departure, also helping sentiment towards sterling.

The British currency has also chalked up impressive gains against the euro with the pair holding near a three-week low around 87 pence.

Kit Juckes, an FX strategist at Societe Generale in London, said the pound’s current valuation was cheap compared with much of the last two decades, and he expects it to strengthen to as much as 84 pence against the euro.

A trade-weighted index of the British currency rose to its highest level since the June 2016 Brexit vote.

Wednesday’s data, along with figures for overseas trade, also showed another sharp drop in construction output, against expectations of a small rebound after a severe downturn in January.

Tuesday, 27 March 2018

Trade detente hopes turbocharge European shares, Casino surges

European Stock Markets

 European shares surged on Tuesday after incipient signs of a detente in trade rhetoric between Washington and Beijing, while French supermarket Casino stole the limelight after sealing a partnership with Amazon. 



Casino (CASP.PA) jumped 7.8 percent to lead Europe’s STOXX 600 after its grocery chain Monoprix said it would start selling its products to Parisian customers through Amazon’s (AMZN.O) Prime Now service this year. 

Despite Casino’s share price gains, the retail index .SXRP underperformed the wider market. Amazon’s expansion into the European grocery industry has struck fear into investors in some supermarket stocks seen as less adapted to a new retail environment. 

A 4.8 percent fall in H&M shares (HMb.ST) also dragged retail stocks down. The Swedish fashion firm flagged further markdowns in the second quarter, reporting profits for Q1 fell roughly as expected. 

The STOXX 600 index gained 1.4 percent, on track for its best day in seven weeks, while Germany's DAX .GDAXI led the pack with a 1.8 percent rise. 

European markets took their cue from a robust rebound on Wall Street and Asian stocks after reports the U.S. and China were negotiating to avert a trade war which had sent stocks spiralling over the past weeks. 

Shares in spreadbetting firms suffered losses at the open after European markets regulator ESMA moved to restrict contract-for-difference and binary options trading “to protect retail investors”.

They recovered swiftly, however. IG Group (IGG.L) was last trading down 0.5 percent, CMC Markets (CMCX.L) up 0.6 percent and Plus500 up 3.2 percent.