Friday, 16 March 2018

Gold claws up again from two-week lows

Global Stock Markets

Gold prices improves from a two-week low on Friday, with the metal generally tethered to the dollar this week, yet supported by persistent global political and trade tensions given the metal’s haven-asset status.


Trading across financial markets was subdued, with the indecisive action coming amid more expected turmoil in the Trump administration. Media reports said the president was planning to sack his national security adviser H.R. McMaster, which would be the second high-profile firing from the White House this week. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson was fired on Tuesday and replaced with CIA Director Mike Pompeo.

While personnel issues unfold, concerns over a possible trade war between the U.S. and key trading partners were still weighing on investors’s minds as well, analysts said. The White House said on Wednesday it will seek to trim the U.S.’s trade deficit with China by $100 billion, using tariffs. The European Union, meanwhile, was working to get the bloc exempt from the tariffs.

Early Friday, April gold GCJ8, +0.24% rose $3.00, or 0.2%, to $1,320.80 an ounce. Its finish at $1,317.80 an ounce Thursday was the lowest since March 1 and sets up the contract to finish the week down 0.2%, according to FactSet data.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.18%  was down 0.2% at 89.957 and down about 0.2% for the week. The index had churned in and out of positive territory. Gold and the dollar typically move inversely. A weaker U.S. currency makes dollar-denominated gold more attractive to investors using another currency; the reverse is true as well, with a steeper dollar typically weighing on gold.

The market has been confined in a relatively tight range and so, gold market-timers looking for a buy signal need a clearer bearish sign, writes Mark Hulbert in his latest column.

But once that signal emerges? “Consider the average recommended gold-market exposure level, as measured by the Hulbert Gold Newsletter Sentiment Index (HGNSI). March 2017 was the last time this average got close to the minus 30% level that have accompanied significant past bottoms. Gold bullion rose 8% over the subsequent three months,” he said.

Meanwhile, May silver SIK8, +0.38%  tipped 0.3% higher, tacking on 5 cents, to $16.47 an ounce. It is headed for a nearly 0.9% weekly loss, according to FactSet.

May copper HGK8, +0.42%  rose 0.3% to $3.1375 a pound. April platinum PLJ8, -0.05% lost 0.1% to $955.70 an ounce, while June palladium PAM8, +0.20%  was flat near $981 an ounce.

Among exchange-traded funds, the silver-focused exchange-traded iShares Silver Trust SLV, -1.02%  rose 0.6% and the SPDR Gold Shares GLD, -0.64% was down 0.3%. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF GDX, -1.29% shed 0.4%.

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