Wednesday, 14 March 2018

Asian shares faltered, as U.S. trade fears eclipse strong China data

Asian Stock Markets

Shares faltered and the dollar skidded on Wednesday as investors fretted over the threat of new U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports, brushing aside data that showed the Asian economy got off to a solid start in 2018. 



Investor appetite for risk was also hit by U.S. President Donald Trump’s move to fire his Secretary of State, regarded as a moderate in his administration, reinforcing market uncertainty about Trump’s future policies. 

In a sign the equity market sell-off would extend elsewhere, S&P E-Mini futures ESc1 were down 0.1 percent while FTSE futures FFIc1 slipped 0.3 percent. 

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS stumbled 0.7 percent, retreating from a 1-1/2 month high on Tuesday, with the technology sector the biggest drag. 

Japan's Nikkei .N225 dropped 0.8 percent. China's SSE Composite index .SSEC and the blue-chip CSI 300 .CSI300 fell 0.5 percent each.

The MSCI Asia ex-Japan IT index MIAX0IT00PUS declined 0.5 percent as Trump sought to impose tariffs on up to $60 billion against information technology, consumer electronics and telecoms.

Large Asian technology stocks such as LG Display (034220.KS), Tencent Holdings (0700.HK) and Taiwan Semiconductor (2330.TW) were all down by more than 1 percent.

Investors suspect policymakers who favour protectionism will also seek to use the currency as a trade weapon, if not overtly then through benign neglect.

As news from the United States dominated, the market shrugged off stronger-than-expected data from China which showed the country’s industrial output expanded at a surprisingly faster pace at the start of the year. Fixed asset investment also handily beat forecasts, while retail sales improved from December.

Still, investors were inconsolable and followed overnight losses on Wall Street with the Dow .DJI off 0.7 percent, the S&P 500 .SPX down 0.6 percent and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC falling 1.0 percent.

The selling intensified after Trump dismissed Tillerson following a series of public rifts over policy on North Korea, Russia and Iran. He was replaced with loyalist CIA Director Mike Pompeo.

The move comes only days after the exit of White House economic advisor Gary Cohn who was a strong proponent of free trade.

Tillerson’s dismissal and the risk of new import duties on China coincided with subdued U.S. consumer price data on Tuesday with annual core inflation, at 1.8 percent, meeting expectations.

The in-line reading should have been positive for risky assets as it was the fear of a pick-up in inflation and in-turn faster U.S. rate hikes that had hit global shares in early February.

But the inflation data did little to move market expectations of Fed rate rises with an increase next week now fully priced-in.

All that put together meant dollar weakness across a basket of currencies .DXY. It eased a tad to 106.5 yen. JPY=

The yen did dip briefly after minutes of the Bank of Japan’s January meeting showed most policymakers shared the view that the central bank should “persistently” pursue powerful monetary easing.

The euro rose overnight to edge towards a recent one-month top of $1.2446 EUR=. It was last at $1.2405, while the pound GBP= was firmer at $1.3989.

In commodities, oil prices were mixed U.S. crude CLcv1 up 2 cents at $60.73. Brent LCOc1 fell 10 cents to $64.54.

Spot gold XAU= was a touch firmer at $1,327.82 an ounce.

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