European stocks, the dollar and bond yields climbed on Friday as
investors speculated on the return of the “Trumpflation trade”, after
the U.S. Senate approved a budget blueprint that paves the way for tax
cuts.
The
Republican-controlled Senate voted 51 to 49 for the budget measure,
which paves the way for taxes to be reformed in the 2018 fiscal year
without support from the Democrats, and which would add up to $1.5
trillion to the federal deficit over the next decade.
U.S. stock futures rose quarter of a percent ESc1, pointing to a firmer start on Wall Street.
With sentiment broadly risk-on, European shares
rebounded from their worst day in two months, also helped by
well-received earnings reports for Volvo and Ericsson and high German
producer-price inflation numbers
Japan's
Nikkei stock index logged its longest winning streak in more than half a
century, while the dollar hit a more-than three-month high against the
yen JPY=.
The VIX “fear index”, which briefly spiked close to 12 on Thursday, was back down below 10 .VIX.
Thursday’s Senate vote pushed 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to their highest in more than a week at 2.3650 percent.
While
European bond yields were also pulled higher, the “transatlantic
spread” between Treasury yields and their German equivalents stretched
to 197 basis points, its widest since June. US10YT=RR, DE10YT=RR.
<GVD/EUR>.
The
dollar index - which tracks it against a basket of six other major
currencies - climbed 0.3 percent to a three-month high .DXY.
Bets
that Trump’s planned tax cuts, infrastructure spending and other
pro-business measures would push up growth and inflation had been behind
a “Trumpflation trade” that sent the dollar to 14-year highs earlier
this year.
But as doubts have grown about
Trump’s ability to push through reforms, that trade had been unwound and
the dollar has slipped around 10 percent.
MSCI
world equity index .MIWD00000PUS, which tracks shares in 47 countries,
was a touch lower but only around 0.2 percent below record highs hit the
previous day.

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