Oil markets jumped on Monday as Iraqi forces entered the oil city of
Kirkuk, taking territory from Kurdish fighters and briefly cutting some
output from OPEC’s second-largest producer.
During
the previous round of sanctions, roughly 1 million bpd of Iranian oil
was cut off. Analysts said that while renewed sanctions were unlikely to
curtail that level of exports again, they warned that such a move would
be disruptive.
Iraq launched the operation in the multi-ethnic
region on Sunday as the crisis between Baghdad and the Kurdish Regional
Government (KRG) escalated. Tensions have been building since the KRG
voted for independence in a Sept. 25 referendum.
On
Monday, Iraq’s Kurdistan briefly shut down some 350,000 barrels per day
(bpd) of production from major fields Bai Hassan and Avana due to
security concerns.
Brent crude futures LCOc1
were at $58.07 per barrel at 1338 GMT, up 90 cents from the previous
close. U.S. WTI crude was at $52.07 per barrel, up 62 cents.
The government said its
troops had taken control of Iraq’s North Oil Company, and the fields
quickly resumed production. The KRG government said oil continued to
flow through the export pipeline, and that it would take no steps to
stop it.
Still, the action unsettled the
market. There is some 600,000 bpd of oil produced in the region, and
Turkey has threatened to shut a KRG-operated pipeline that goes to the
Turkish port of Ceyhan at Baghdad’s request.
U.S.
President Donald Trump on Friday refused to certify that Tehran is
complying with the accord even though international inspectors say it
is.
Under U.S. law, the president must certify
every 90 days that Iran is complying with the deal. Congress now has 60
days to decide whether to reimpose economic sanctions on Tehran.

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