The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average closed
over the 22,000 mark for the first time on Wednesday, but investor fears
about the sustainability of the gains took the shine off the round
number milestone.
The rally lost momentum during the day's trading and despite the recent run up, helped by strong earnings from Apple Inc (AAPL.O) and Boeing Co (BA.N), some technical indicators were flashing warning signs.
And with the
Dow industrials at a record high, Dow theory suggests that the Dow
Transportation Average .DJT index should also hit a record in order to
confirm the market's march higher.
But that
index trails the Dow industrials' year-to-date performance by almost 10
percentage points and is nearly 6 percent below its own July 14 record
high.
Also, overall market breadth, or the
number of winning stocks relative to losers, is weakening even as the
major U.S. indexes hover near record highs.
That
means the broad gains have been driven by advances in a declining
number of companies, and market watchers fear they could be hard to
sustain.
The number of 52-week lows among
NYSE- and Nasdaq-traded stocks is at its highest since late June while
the number of 52-week highs has dropped sharply since mid-July.
Apple, McDonald's Corp (MCD.N) and UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH.N) have each added more than 200 points to the index.
The
Dow is a price-weighted index, meaning names like Apple, with its $157
price tag, and Boeing, which closed Wednesday near $238 per share, will
generally have more of an influence over the index than components like
the roughly $25 per share General Electric Co (GE.N).
The
lack of breadth as well as the underperformance by the Dow transports
could be a signal that the market rally could be sputtering out, at
least for now.
Julian Emanuel, executive
director of U.S. equity and derivatives strategy at UBS in New York,
said the weakness of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Wednesday versus the
strength of Apple shares showed an "underlying fatigue in the rally."
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite traded flat on Wednesday, even as Apple jumped nearly 5 percent.

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