Bearish stock investors are slowly coming out of
hibernation, as money has begun to move into funds that aim to profit
when markets dive.
U.S. mutual funds that
attempt to profit in falling markets attracted $413 million in new
investments during the second quarter, the funds' largest inflows since
the height of 2013's "Taper Tantrum" selloff, according to Thomson
Reuters' Lipper research unit.
On Thursday, the
S&P 500 experienced its first 1 percent-plus drop in 58 trading
days, as the CBOE Volatility Index .VIX surged over 44 percent, noted
Bespoke Investment Group.
The selling pressure
in stocks follows a frustrating year-to-date for bearish stock
investors, given that the S&P was up 10.5 percent since Dec. 31 as
of Wednesday's close. As of Thursday's close, it is up 8.9 percent.
Markets
this week were set in negative motion after the United States and North
Korea exchanged threats. President Donald Trump said Thursday that his
previous promise of "fire and fury" in response to any threats from
North Korea may have not gone far enough, vowing "trouble" for the
country if its actions do not change.
Brad Lamensdorf, portfolio manager for AdvisorShares Ranger Equity Bear ETF (HDGE.P), said he has seen demand for his fund partly driven by "people that feel like it's time to hedge."
The demand
for these funds comes after a long drought, and remains a mere drop in
the bucket within the fund world. The funds posted outflows in nine of
the last 15 quarters, according to Lipper.
By
contrast, domestic stock mutual funds and exchange-traded funds have
attracted $32 billion this year, including reinvested dividends,
according to the Investment Company Institute, a trade group.
Demand
for international stocks and bonds has been even stronger as investors
tried to dial back exposure to U.S. stocks without the expensive costs
attached to hedging strategies.
The bear funds
keep a "net short" exposure to stocks, aiming to rise when markets fall.
The cost of making that bet and the rising markets have helped the
category deliver a negative 13.5 percent return this year, according to
Lipper data through early August.
But
some investors see the moderate U.S. equity flows and strengthening
demand for bearish funds as a contrarian sign that the markets may have
more room to run.
The nonprofit American
Association of Individual Investors found that 36.1 percent of investors
it surveyed expect the market to rise in the next six months, 2
percentage points below that gauge's historical average. An
above-average 32.1 percent of investors were bearish.

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